APPLICATION OF THE PRINCIPLES OF ZONING IN THE MULTI-FACTOR ANALYSIS OF THE RISKS INFLUENCING THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE EPISOOTIC PROCESS OF THE AFRICAN PIG PLAN

The activity of the manifestation of the epizootic process of the same infectious disease in different territories (farms, settlements, administrative regions, etc.) will always be different due to the impact of various anthropogenic and biogenic factors on it. For each disease, there are basic and additional evaluation criteria, the nature and intensity of the manifestation of which determines the growth or extinction of the epizootic process. Therefore, in this work, we conducted studies to identify and study the fundamental risk factors that affect the possibility of introduction and spread of the pathogen of African swine fever in the Republic of Kazakhstan. The use of zoning principles in a multivariate risk analysis affecting the development of the epizootic process of African swine fever showed that, with the negative development of the African swine fever scenario in Kazakhstan, such factors as the characteristics of pig farming, the culture of keeping pigs in farms of different levels and the presence of susceptible livestock directly or indirectly will contribute to the epidemic development of the epizootic process of the disease. At the same time, such regions as Almaty, Kostanai and North Kazakhstan regions entered the zone of the most probable risk.

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